Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Foster MoreauReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Seahawks vs. Raiders
Right now, Foster Moreau’s receiving yards prop is set at 35.5 yards (+100/-130).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 35.5 (-130) after it opened @ 35.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Raiders are a 4-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 10th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- Foster Moreau has been used less as a potential target this season (61.8% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (47.3%).
- Foster Moreau has notched many more receiving yards per game (36.0) this year than he did last year (28.0).
- The Seattle Seahawks defense has surrendered the most receiving yards per game in the NFL (78.0) versus TEs this year.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 11th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Las Vegas Raiders have used play action on a measly 16.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (least in the league), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.
- The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a measly 4.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in the league). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.
- The Las Vegas Raiders have elected to go for it on 4th down just 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (7th-least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
41
Receiving Yards
41
Receiving Yards
