Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
DeAndre HopkinsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Cardinals vs. Chargers
Right now, DeAndre Hopkins’s receiving yards prop is set at 81.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 81.5 (-110) after it opened @ 78.5 (-114).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.1 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to accumulate 11.4 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among WRs.
- DeAndre Hopkins has compiled significantly more air yards this year (106.0 per game) than he did last year (81.0 per game).
Cons
- Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 8th-least in football.
- DeAndre Hopkins’s pass-catching effectiveness has declined this season, averaging a mere 8.67 yards-per-target compared to a 9.78 figure last season.
- DeAndre Hopkins’s skills in grinding out extra yardage have diminished this year, averaging a measly 2.02 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.43 figure last year.
- The Los Angeles Chargers defense has allowed the 9th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 130.0) to wide receivers this year.
- The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.44 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
99
Receiving Yards
99
Receiving Yards
