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Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for David Njoku from EV Insight

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David Njoku

David NjokuReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 12

Browns vs. Buccaneers

Right now, David Njoku’s receiving yards prop is set at 30.5 yards (+100/-130).
The public has bet the OVER up to 30.5 (+100) after it opened @ 27.5 (-115).

Pros

  • The Browns are a heavy 7.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.1 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
  • David Njoku has compiled substantially more receiving yards per game (57.0) this season than he did last season (29.0).
Cons

  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.02 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in the NFL.

Projection
THE BLITZ
34
Receiving Yards

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