Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for David Njoku from EV Insight

David NjokuReceiving Yards

Right now, David Njoku’s receiving yards prop is set at 30.5 yards (+100/-130).

The public has bet the OVER up to 30.5 (+100) after it opened @ 27.5 (-115).

Pros

The Browns are a heavy 7.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.1 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
David Njoku has compiled substantially more receiving yards per game (57.0) this season than he did last season (29.0).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.02 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
34
Receiving Yards