Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Dalton Schultz from EV Insight

Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards

Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 41.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 41.5 (-110) after it opened @ 35.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Dalton Schultz has run a route on 75.2% of his team’s dropbacks this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to accrue 6.6 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking in the 95th percentile among tight ends.
Dalton Schultz has totaled a monstrous 37.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among tight ends.

Cons

The Cowboys are a huge 10-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The Cowboys have been the 7th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 57.4% pass rate.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in the league.
Dalton Schultz has totaled a lot fewer receiving yards per game (35.0) this season than he did last season (46.0).
Dalton Schultz’s ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 76.3% to 71.4%.

Projection

THE BLITZ
52
Receiving Yards