Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
CeeDee LambReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Cowboys vs. Giants
Right now, CeeDee Lamb’s receiving yards prop is set at 75.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 75.5 (-110) after it opened @ 67.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects CeeDee Lamb to garner 9.9 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among wideouts.
- CeeDee Lamb has compiled quite a few more air yards this year (94.0 per game) than he did last year (82.0 per game).
- CeeDee Lamb has compiled substantially more receiving yards per game (77.0) this season than he did last season (64.0).
Cons
- The Cowboys are a huge 10-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
- The Cowboys have been the 7th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 57.4% pass rate.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in the league.
- The New York Giants pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Completion% in the league (61.3%) versus wide receivers this year (61.3%).
- The New York Giants pass defense has shown strong efficiency against wide receivers this year, giving up 7.76 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-least in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
97
Receiving Yards
97
Receiving Yards
