WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Daniel JonesPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Cowboys vs. Giants
Right now, Daniel Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 198.5 yards (-104/-131).
The public has bet the OVER up to 198.5 (-104) after it opened @ 192.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Giants are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 135.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The New York Giants have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- The Dallas Cowboys defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 6.55 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-most in football.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 57.2% pass rate.
- The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
- Daniel Jones has been among the bottom passers in football this year, averaging 197.0 yards per game while checking in at the 24th percentile.
- Opposing QBs have thrown for the least yards in football (just 181.0 per game) versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
- The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, allowing 6.92 yards-per-target: the 5th-least in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
251
Passing Yards
251
Passing Yards
