WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Dak PrescottPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Cowboys vs. Giants
Right now, Dak Prescott’s passing yards prop is set at 252.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 252.5 (-110) after it opened @ 246.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
- Dak Prescott has been among the most accurate QBs in football this year with an impressive 67.1% Completion%, grading out in the 79th percentile.
- Dak Prescott has been among the most effective passers in football this year, averaging a terrific 7.53 yards-per-target while grading out in the 75th percentile.
- The New York Giants linebackers profile as the 3rd-worst LB corps in football this year in pass coverage.
Cons
- The Cowboys are a huge 10-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
- The Cowboys have been the 7th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 57.4% pass rate.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in the league.
- Dak Prescott has thrown for many fewer yards per game (229.0) this season than he did last season (273.0).
- Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-lowest clip in the NFL against the New York Giants defense this year (65.4%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
305
Passing Yards
305
Passing Yards
