Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Tony PollardRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Vikings vs. Cowboys
Right now, Tony Pollard’s rushing yards prop is set at 54.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the OVER up to 54.5 (-110) after it opened @ 42.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Cowboys have been the 7th-most run-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 42.8% run rate.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 140.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Tony Pollard to accrue 13.7 rush attempts this week, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
- Tony Pollard has earned 43.5% of his team’s rush attempts this year, placing him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
- Tony Pollard has run for many more yards per game (63.0) this year than he did last year (43.0).
Cons
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- The Minnesota Vikings defense has produced the 9th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, allowing just 4.42 yards-per-carry.
- The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles grade out as the best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
67
Rushing Yards
67
Rushing Yards
