Prime-Time Props — Thursday Night Football, Week 1
Prop God
Trey McBrideReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Cardinals vs. 49ers
Right now, Trey McBride’s receiving yards prop is set at 22.5 yards (+104/-142).
The public has bet the OVER up to 22.5 (+104) after it opened @ 19.5 (-120).
Pros
- The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Colt McCoy in this week’s contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
- The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
- The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 63.8 plays per game.
- The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Trey McBride to notch 3.7 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking in the 75th percentile among TEs.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Trey McBride has notched a measly 2.0 air yards per game this year: just 15th percentile among tight ends.
- The San Francisco 49ers defense has surrendered the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 34.0) vs. TEs this year.
- The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (68.3%) vs. tight ends this year (68.3%).
- The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. TEs this year, yielding 5.54 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
22
Receiving Yards
22
Receiving Yards
