Week 11 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tee Higgins from EV Insight

Tee HigginsReceiving Yards

Right now, Tee Higgins’s receiving yards prop is set at 75.5 yards (+100/-130).

The public has bet the OVER up to 75.5 (+100) after it opened @ 73.5 (-125).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 66.8% pass rate.
The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 61.3 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 8th-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Tee Higgins to accrue 8.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.
Tee Higgins has been among the best WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 66.0 yards per game while ranking in the 86th percentile.

Cons

The Bengals are an enormous 7-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Tee Higgins has posted quite a few less air yards this season (67.0 per game) than he did last season (94.0 per game).
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Completion% in the league (62.7%) versus WRs this year (62.7%).
The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties grade out as the 8th-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
73
Receiving Yards