Week 11 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tanner Hudson from EV Insight

Tanner HudsonReceiving Yards

Right now, Tanner Hudson’s receiving yards prop is set at 12.5 yards (-105/-125).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 12.5 (-125) after it opened @ 12.5 (-120).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.1 plays per game.
The Detroit Lions defense has surrendered the 2nd-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (68.0) versus tight ends this year.
The Detroit Lions pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency vs. TEs this year, surrendering 9.58 yards-per-target to the position: the most in the league.
The Detroit Lions pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing TEs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 8.06 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-most in the NFL.

Cons

The Giants are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 46.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
The New York Giants offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
15
Receiving Yards