WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
DeAndre HopkinsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Cardinals vs. 49ers
Right now, DeAndre Hopkins’s receiving yards prop is set at 75.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 75.5 (-110) after it opened @ 74.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Colt McCoy in this week’s contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
- The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
- The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 63.8 plays per game.
- The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has allowed the highest Completion% in the league (70.1%) vs. wide receivers this year (70.1%).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- DeAndre Hopkins’s talent in generating extra yardage have declined this year, compiling a mere 2.25 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.43 mark last year.
- The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.46 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in the league.
- The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the 3rd-best LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.
- The Arizona Cardinals O-line has afforded their QB just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
87
Receiving Yards
87
Receiving Yards
