Week 11 Player Props: Receiving Yards for DeAndre Hopkins from EV Insight

DeAndre HopkinsReceiving Yards

Right now, DeAndre Hopkins’s receiving yards prop is set at 75.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 75.5 (-110) after it opened @ 74.5 (-115).

Pros

The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Colt McCoy in this week’s contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 63.8 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has allowed the highest Completion% in the league (70.1%) vs. wide receivers this year (70.1%).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
DeAndre Hopkins’s talent in generating extra yardage have declined this year, compiling a mere 2.25 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.43 mark last year.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.46 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in the league.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the 3rd-best LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line has afforded their QB just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
87
Receiving Yards