Week 11 Player Props: Receiving Yards for David Njoku from EV Insight

David NjokuReceiving Yards

Right now, David Njoku’s receiving yards prop is set at 35.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 35.5 (-110) after it opened @ 35.5 (-115).

Pros

The Browns are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to accumulate 5.6 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among TEs.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Cleveland Browns O-line has given their QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 56.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.10 seconds per snap.
The Buffalo Bills defense has surrendered the 7th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 39.0) versus TEs this year.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. TEs this year, conceding 5.83 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-least in the NFL.
The Buffalo Bills linebackers rank as the best group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
42
Receiving Yards