Week 11 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Austin Hooper from EV Insight

Austin HooperReceiving Yards

Right now, Austin Hooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 24.5 yards (+104/-142).

The public has bet the OVER up to 24.5 (+104) after it opened @ 23.5 (-115).

Pros

The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
Austin Hooper has run a route on 60.7% of his team’s passing plays this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among TEs.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Hooper to accumulate 3.8 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among TEs.
Austin Hooper has put up a whopping 24.0 air yards per game this year: 75th percentile among TEs.
Austin Hooper’s sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Completion% jumping from 68.0% to 75.8%.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in football this year, totaling a measly 52.3 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in the league.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
24
Receiving Yards