NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Allen LazardReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Packers vs. Titans
Right now, Allen Lazard’s receiving yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet the OVER up to 50.5 (-105) after it opened @ 48.5 (-115).
Pros
- Opposing offenses have averaged 43.8 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the league.
- Allen Lazard has gone out for fewer passes this season (89.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (77.3%).
- THE BLITZ projects Allen Lazard to accumulate 6.6 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile among wide receivers.
- Allen Lazard has compiled many more air yards this season (85.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).
- The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Cons
- The Packers are a 3-point favorite in this week’s game, which points towards a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Allen Lazard’s possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 69.9% to 63.8%.
- The Tennessee Titans safeties grade out as the 3rd-best safety corps in football this year in pass coverage.
- The Green Bay Packers offensive line has afforded their QB a mere 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
57
Receiving Yards
57
Receiving Yards
