Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Matt RyanPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Colts vs. Eagles
Right now, Matt Ryan’s passing yards prop is set at 234.5 yards (+112/-154).
The public has bet the OVER up to 234.5 (+112) after it opened @ 228.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Colts are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 64.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Indianapolis Colts have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 60.8 plays per game.
- Matt Ryan has thrown for substantially more yards per game (286.0) this season than he did last season (235.0).
Cons
- The Indianapolis Colts O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass game stats across the board.
- Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 10th-least yards in the NFL (just 214.0 per game) against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year.
- Opposing QBs have completed passes at the lowest rate in the NFL versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year (63.6%).
- The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has shown good efficiency this year, giving up 6.32 yards-per-target: the 2nd-least in the league.
- The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
285
Passing Yards
285
Passing Yards
