Week 11 Player Props: Passing Yards for Daniel Jones from EV Insight

Daniel JonesPassing Yards

Right now, Daniel Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 191.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 191.5 (-110) after it opened @ 194.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.1 plays per game.
Daniel Jones has been among the most on-target quarterbacks in the league this year with a terrific 66.7% Completion%, grading out in the 76th percentile.
Opposing QBs have thrown for the 7th-most yards in the league (260.0 per game) vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 7th-highest clip in the NFL versus the Detroit Lions defense this year (73.5%).

Cons

The Giants are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 46.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to attempt 28.3 passes in this game, on average: the 4th-least of all QBs.
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
180
Passing Yards