Week 10 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Cordarrelle Patterson from EV Insight

Cordarrelle PattersonRushing Yards

Right now, Cordarrelle Patterson’s rushing yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-130/+100).

The public has bet the OVER up to 57.5 (-130) after it opened @ 51.5 (-120).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 2nd-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Cordarrelle Patterson to total 14.0 carries in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among RBs.
Cordarrelle Patterson has garnered 47.9% of his offense’s rush attempts this year, putting him in the 81st percentile among RBs.
Cordarrelle Patterson has rushed for significantly more yards per game (79.0) this year than he did last year (38.0).
Opposing offenses have run for the 5th-most yards in the league (145 per game) versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.7 plays per game.
The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-best DT corps in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
The Atlanta Falcons have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box against opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
59
Rushing Yards