Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Wan'Dale Robinson from EV Insight

Wan’Dale RobinsonReceiving Yards

Right now, Wan’Dale Robinson’s receiving yards prop is set at 36.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 36.5 (-110) after it opened @ 37.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 2nd-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.20 seconds per snap.
The Houston Texans pass defense has displayed bad efficiency vs. wideouts this year, conceding 9.43 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-most in the league.
The Houston Texans pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 6.80 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in the league.
The Houston Texans safeties project as the 2nd-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.
The New York Giants have used play action on 28.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

Cons

The Giants are a 5.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 8th-least in the NFL.
The New York Giants offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The New York Giants offensive line has allowed their QB a mere 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
42
Receiving Yards