Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Mark Andrews from EV Insight

Mark AndrewsReceiving Yards

Right now, Mark Andrews’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (+110/-143).

The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (+110) after it opened @ 45.5 (-112).

Pros

The Ravens boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 3.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to have 130.4 total plays called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
Our trusted projections expect Mark Andrews to accrue 7.0 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to TEs.
The Baltimore offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
With a fantastic 62.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (99th percentile) this year, Mark Andrews rates as one of the leading pass-game tight ends in football.

Cons

This game’s line indicates a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 6 points.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 50.1% of their downs: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Opposing offenses have averaged 27.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: fewest in football.
Mark Andrews’s 23.8% Target% this year illustrates an impressive decrease in his pass attack utilization over last year’s 29.9% figure.
Mark Andrews has notched significantly fewer air yards this year (55.0 per game) than he did last year (79.0 per game).

Projection

THE BLITZ
51
Receiving Yards