Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Harrison Bryant from EV Insight

Harrison BryantReceiving Yards

Right now, Harrison Bryant’s receiving yards prop is set at 19.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the OVER up to 19.5 (-110) after it opened @ 18.5 (-115).

Pros

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.4 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Harrison Bryant has gone out for fewer passes this season (45.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (28.0%).
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has surrendered the highest Completion% in football (84.2%) versus TEs this year (84.2%).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run on the slate this week at 127.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Harrison Bryant’s receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Completion% falling off from 77.5% to 67.5%.
Harrison Bryant’s receiving effectiveness has worsened this season, totaling a measly 5.29 yards-per-target compared to a 8.54 rate last season.
Harrison Bryant has been among the worst tight ends in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 3.14 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 17th percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
25
Receiving Yards