Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Drake LondonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Panthers vs. Falcons
Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 34.5 yards (-109/-125).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 34.5 (-125) after it opened @ 38.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects Drake London to total 6.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile among WRs.
- Drake London has been a big part of his team’s pass game, posting a Target Share of 28.9% this year, which ranks in the 97th percentile among WRs.
- Drake London has compiled a colossal 63.0 air yards per game this year: 77th percentile among WRs.
- The Atlanta Falcons O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
- The Carolina Panthers pass defense has yielded the 5th-highest Completion% in the NFL (70.3%) versus WRs this year (70.3%).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Atlanta Falcons have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.7 plays per game.
- Drake London has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the league, hauling in a mere 58.6% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 15th percentile among wideouts
- Drake London has been among the worst WRs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 1st percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
48
Receiving Yards
48
Receiving Yards
