Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for DeAndre Hopkins from EV Insight

DeAndre HopkinsReceiving Yards

Right now, DeAndre Hopkins’s receiving yards prop is set at 67.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 67.5 (-115) after it opened @ 75.5 (-115).

Pros

The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to start backup quarterback Colt McCoy in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards a passing game script.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 64.8 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to earn 9.9 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among WRs.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run on the slate this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 9th-least in football.
DeAndre Hopkins’s talent in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this year, averaging a measly 1.96 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.43 mark last year.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against WRs this year, surrendering 7.51 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in the league.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
72
Receiving Yards