NBA Postseason Best Bets (5/17)
Alex Christenson
DeAndre HopkinsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Rams vs. Cardinals
Right now, DeAndre Hopkins’s receiving yards prop is set at 67.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 67.5 (-115) after it opened @ 75.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to start backup quarterback Colt McCoy in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
- The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards a passing game script.
- The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 64.8 plays per game.
- The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to earn 9.9 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among WRs.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run on the slate this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 9th-least in football.
- DeAndre Hopkins’s talent in picking up extra yardage have tailed off this year, averaging a measly 1.96 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.43 mark last year.
- The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against WRs this year, surrendering 7.51 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in the league.
- The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
72
Receiving Yards
72
Receiving Yards
