Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Dalton Schultz from EV Insight

Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards

Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 35.5 yards (-105/-125).

The public has bet the OVER up to 35.5 (-105) after it opened @ 31.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Dalton Schultz has run a route on 77.0% of his offense’s passing plays this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among tight ends.
THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to earn 6.2 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among TEs.
The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Cons

The Cowboys are a heavy 9.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The Cowboys have been the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 56.1% pass rate.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 55.5 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the league.
Dalton Schultz has posted substantially fewer receiving yards per game (31.0) this season than he did last season (46.0).

Projection

THE BLITZ
43
Receiving Yards