Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Allen LazardReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Packers vs. Cowboys
Right now, Allen Lazard’s receiving yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-105/-130).
The public has bet the OVER up to 55.5 (-105) after it opened @ 54.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Packers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 133.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in football.
- THE BLITZ projects Allen Lazard to garner 8.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among WRs.
Cons
- Allen Lazard’s receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 69.9% to 62.6%.
- The Dallas Cowboys defense has yielded the 5th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 130.0) to WRs this year.
- The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus wideouts this year, conceding 7.38 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in the NFL.
- The Dallas Cowboys linebackers rank as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
- The Green Bay Packers O-line has given their quarterback a measly 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
66
Receiving Yards
66
Receiving Yards
