Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Allen Lazard from EV Insight

Allen LazardReceiving Yards

Right now, Allen Lazard’s receiving yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-105/-130).

The public has bet the OVER up to 55.5 (-105) after it opened @ 54.5 (-115).

Pros

The Packers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 133.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Allen Lazard to garner 8.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among WRs.

Cons

Allen Lazard’s receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 69.9% to 62.6%.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has yielded the 5th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 130.0) to WRs this year.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus wideouts this year, conceding 7.38 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in the NFL.
The Dallas Cowboys linebackers rank as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
The Green Bay Packers O-line has given their quarterback a measly 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
66
Receiving Yards