Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Marcus MariotaPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Panthers vs. Falcons
Right now, Marcus Mariota’s passing yards prop is set at 155.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 155.5 (-110) after it opened @ 163.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Atlanta Falcons O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
- Marcus Mariota has passed for many more yards per game (170.0) this season than he did last season (1.0).
- Marcus Mariota has been among the most effective passers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 7.59 yards-per-target while grading out in the 79th percentile.
- Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-highest rate in football vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year (74.4%).
- The Carolina Panthers safeties rank as the 7th-worst safety corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Atlanta Falcons have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.7 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to attempt 25.9 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 3rd-least of all quarterbacks.
- Marcus Mariota has been among the least on-target passers in the NFL this year with a 60.3% Completion%, ranking in the 15th percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
171
Passing Yards
171
Passing Yards
