Week 10 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jacoby Brissett from EV Insight

Jacoby BrissettPassing Yards

Right now, Jacoby Brissett’s passing yards prop is set at 224.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 224.5 (-110) after it opened @ 223.5 (-115).

Pros

The Browns are a 3-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.4 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
Jacoby Brissett has passed for substantially more yards per game (239.0) this season than he did last season (125.0).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run on the slate this week at 127.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.81 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in the league.
The Miami Dolphins defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-quickest in football since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
234
Passing Yards