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Week 10 Player Props: Passing Yards for Andy Dalton from EV Insight

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Andy Dalton

Andy DaltonPassing Yards

Player Props – Week 10

Steelers vs. Saints

Right now, Andy Dalton’s passing yards prop is set at 214.5 yards (+104/-142).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 214.5 (-142) after it opened @ 226.5 (-115).

Pros

  • The New Orleans Saints will be forced to start backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
  • Andy Dalton has passed for substantially more yards per game (212.0) this season than he did last season (183.0).
  • Opposing teams have passed for the 2nd-most yards in football (285.0 per game) vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency this year, surrendering 8.25 yards-per-target: the 9th-most in the league.
Cons

  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Andy Dalton to attempt 25.5 passes this week, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-lowest rate in football against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year (66.2%).
  • The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

Projection
THE BLITZ
156
Passing Yards

Previous Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for T.J. Hockenson from EV Insight Next Week 10 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Logan Thomas from EV Insight