Week 1 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Travis Etienne from EV Insight

Travis EtienneRushing Yards

Right now, Travis Etienne’s rushing yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 60.5 (-115) after it opened @ 56.5 (-110).

Pros

The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league (adjusted for context) against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season, averaging 27.58 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Travis Etienne to total 13.1 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking in the 84th percentile among RBs.
Travis Etienne has been given 51.6% of his offense’s carries since the start of last season, putting him in the 87th percentile among running backs.
Travis Etienne has picked up 65.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in the NFL among running backs (89th percentile).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 9th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 39.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
The Indianapolis Colts linebackers rank as the 5th-best collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

Projection

THE BLITZ
63
Rushing Yards