Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Saquon BarkleyRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Giants vs. Cowboys
Right now, Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Giants have been the 8th-most run-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 43.8% run rate.
- THE BLITZ projects the Giants to run the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New York Giants have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 59.6 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to garner 17.7 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
- Saquon Barkley has generated 78.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the league among running backs (96th percentile).
Cons
- The Giants are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
- The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
- The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
Projection
THE BLITZ
78
Rushing Yards
78
Rushing Yards
