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Week 1 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Samaje Perine from EV Insight

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Samaje Perine

Samaje PerineRushing Yards

Player Props – Week 1

Broncos vs. Raiders

Right now, Samaje Perine’s rushing yards prop is set at 39.5 yards (+104/-136).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 39.5 (-136) after it opened @ 39.5 (-129).

Pros

  • The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Sean Payton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.4% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The Broncos are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 5th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 45.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Samaje Perine to garner 11.9 rush attempts in this contest, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defense has had the 10th-worst efficiency against opposing running games since the start of last season, surrendering 4.79 yards-per-carry.
Cons

  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends profile as the 4th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

Projection
THE BLITZ
51
Rushing Yards

Previous Week 1 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Breece Hall from EV Insight Next Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Marquise Brown from EV Insight