The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Sean Payton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.4% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The Broncos are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 5th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 45.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Samaje Perine to garner 11.9 rush attempts in this contest, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has had the 10th-worst efficiency against opposing running games since the start of last season, surrendering 4.79 yards-per-carry.
Cons
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends profile as the 4th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.