Week 1 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Nick Chubb from EV Insight

Nick ChubbRushing Yards

Right now, Nick Chubb’s rushing yards prop is set at 80.5 yards (-105/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 80.5 (-115) after it opened @ 80.5 (-114).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 44.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Nick Chubb to earn 16.7 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking in the 95th percentile among RBs.
Nick Chubb has garnered 59.5% of his offense’s carries since the start of last season, putting him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
Nick Chubb has grinded out 88.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the league among running backs (98th percentile).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 5th-least yards in the league (just 101 per game) versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season.
The Cincinnati Bengals safeties rank as the 6th-best unit in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
79
Rushing Yards