Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Nick ChubbRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Browns vs. Bengals
Right now, Nick Chubb’s rushing yards prop is set at 80.5 yards (-105/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 80.5 (-115) after it opened @ 80.5 (-114).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 44.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Cleveland Browns have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Nick Chubb to earn 16.7 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking in the 95th percentile among RBs.
- Nick Chubb has garnered 59.5% of his offense’s carries since the start of last season, putting him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
- Nick Chubb has grinded out 88.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the league among running backs (98th percentile).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Opposing teams have rushed for the 5th-least yards in the league (just 101 per game) versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season.
- The Cincinnati Bengals safeties rank as the 6th-best unit in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
79
Rushing Yards
79
Rushing Yards
