Week 1 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Miles Sanders from EV Insight

Miles SandersRushing Yards

Right now, Miles Sanders’s rushing yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-101/-135).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 50.5 (-135) after it opened @ 54.5 (-114).

Pros

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to total 11.5 rush attempts this week, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
The Detroit Lions defensive ends rank as the worst DE corps in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to run the 3rd-least total plays among all teams this week with 59.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have incorporated motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

Projection

THE BLITZ
50
Rushing Yards