Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Ezekiel ElliottRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Cowboys vs. Buccaneers
Right now, Ezekiel Elliott’s rushing yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Dallas Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 66.6 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to accrue 12.1 rush attempts this week, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among RBs.
- Ezekiel Elliott has received 59.0% of his offense’s carries since the start of last season, placing him in the 90th percentile among RBs.
- The Dallas Cowboys offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in football since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 5th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 36.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Opposing squads have rushed for the 3rd-least yards in football (just 92 per game) versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season with their run defense.
Projection
THE BLITZ
52
Rushing Yards
52
Rushing Yards
