Week 1 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Ezekiel Elliott from EV Insight

Ezekiel ElliottRushing Yards

Right now, Ezekiel Elliott’s rushing yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 66.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to accrue 12.1 rush attempts this week, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among RBs.
Ezekiel Elliott has received 59.0% of his offense’s carries since the start of last season, placing him in the 90th percentile among RBs.
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in football since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 5th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 36.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 3rd-least yards in football (just 92 per game) versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season with their run defense.

Projection

THE BLITZ
52
Rushing Yards