Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Christian McCaffreyRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Steelers vs. 49ers
Right now, Christian McCaffrey’s rushing yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 57.5 (-115) after it opened @ 63.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 10th-most run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 40.9% run rate.
- THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to notch 13.9 rush attempts in this contest, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
- Christian McCaffrey has garnered 58.4% of his team’s carries since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile among running backs.
- The San Francisco 49ers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
- Christian McCaffrey has generated 68.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the NFL among RBs (93rd percentile).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Christian McCaffrey has been among the weakest running backs in the NFL at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 2.61 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 11th percentile.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers defense owns the 6th-best efficiency against opposing running games since the start of last season, allowing just 4.28 yards-per-carry.
Projection
THE BLITZ
59
Rushing Yards
59
Rushing Yards
