Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Christian McCaffreyRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Panthers vs. Browns
Right now, Christian McCaffrey’s rushing yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet up the OVER up to 69.5 (-115) after it opened @ 64.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense as the 2nd-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 25.65 seconds per play.
- THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to garner 16.2 rush attempts in this contest, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among RBs.
- Christian McCaffrey has received 62.9% of his team’s carries since the start of last season, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
- Christian McCaffrey has picked up 65.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the league among RBs (95th percentile).
- The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles grade out as the 7th-worst unit in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
Cons
- The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- The Carolina Panthers O-line profiles as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.
- Opposing teams have rushed for the 10th-least yards in the NFL (just 107 per game) versus the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season.
- The Carolina Panthers have been faced with a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
70
Rushing Yards
70
Rushing Yards
