Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Cam AkersRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Seahawks vs. Rams
Right now, Cam Akers’s rushing yards prop is set at 67.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 67.5 (-110) after it opened @ 62.5 (-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 2nd-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should lead to reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game results when facing windier conditions this week.
- THE BLITZ projects Cam Akers to garner 14.9 carries in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
- Cam Akers has been given 54.2% of his team’s carries since the start of last season, putting him in the 90th percentile among RBs.
- Opposing squads have run for the 3rd-most yards in football (151 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season.
Cons
- The Rams are a 4.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 6th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 37.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Los Angeles Rams have run the 6th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 54.4 plays per game.
Projection
THE BLITZ
65
Rushing Yards
65
Rushing Yards
