Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Bijan RobinsonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Falcons vs. Panthers
Right now, Bijan Robinson’s rushing yards prop is set at 72.5 yards (-125/-109).
The public has bet the OVER up to 72.5 (-125) after it opened @ 67.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Falcons are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 47.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Bijan Robinson to total 17.8 carries this week, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
- The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Atlanta Falcons have run the 8th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.1 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- The Carolina Panthers linebackers project as the best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.
Projection
THE BLITZ
76
Rushing Yards
76
Rushing Yards
