Week 1 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Austin Ekeler from EV Insight

Austin EkelerRushing Yards

Right now, Austin Ekeler’s rushing yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 55.5 (-115) after it opened @ 58.5 (-115).

Pros

The Chargers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to garner 13.8 rush attempts in this contest, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among running backs.
The Los Angeles Chargers O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
The Las Vegas Raiders defensive tackles grade out as the worst collection of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 10th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 37.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense owns the 8th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, conceding just 4.25 yards-per-carry.
The Los Angeles Chargers have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box against opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
62
Rushing Yards