Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Tommy TrembleReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Panthers vs. Browns
Right now, Tommy Tremble’s receiving yards prop is set at 13.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet up the UNDER down to 13.5 (-110) after it opened @ 15.5 (-120).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense as the 2nd-quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 25.65 seconds per play.
- The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- The Cleveland Browns pass defense has surrendered the 9th-highest Completion% in the league (74.3%) to TEs since the start of last season (74.3%).
- The Cleveland Browns pass defense has struggled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.17 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 10th-most in the league.
- The Carolina Panthers have been faced with a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
Cons
- The Carolina Panthers offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
- Tommy Tremble has been among the least efficient receivers in the league among TEs, averaging a mere 5.91 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 4th percentile.
- The Cleveland Browns linebackers profile as the best group of LBs in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
- The Carolina Panthers offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
- The Cleveland Browns defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.42 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-fastest in football since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
14
Receiving Yards
14
Receiving Yards
