NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Skyy MooreReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Chiefs vs. Lions
Right now, Skyy Moore’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 47.5 (-110) after it opened @ 34.5 (-114).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.8 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the NFL.
- THE BLITZ projects Skyy Moore to accumulate 5.7 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.
- THE BLITZ projects Skyy Moore to be a more important option in his team’s passing attack this week (15.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (5.6% in games he has played).
Cons
- The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s game, which points towards a rushing game script.
- Skyy Moore has been among the worst wide receivers in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 0th percentile.
- The Kansas City Chiefs have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
- The Kansas City Chiefs have gone no-huddle on a lowly 1.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.
- The Kansas City Chiefs have risked going for it on 4th down a lowly 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
53
Receiving Yards
53
Receiving Yards
