Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Robert Woods from EV Insight

Robert WoodsReceiving Yards

Right now, Robert Woods’s receiving yards prop is set at 48.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 48.5 (-110) after it opened @ 50.5 (-115).

Pros

Robert Woods has run a route on 92.5% of his offense’s passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Robert Woods to accrue 6.4 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking in the 77th percentile among WRs.
Robert Woods has posted a monstrous 64.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 75th percentile among wide receivers.
The New York Giants defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.61 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the slowest in the league since the start of last season.
The Tennessee Titans have gone up against a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Cons

The Titans are a 5.5-point favorite in this week’s game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 4th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace out of all the games this week, averaging 27.34 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans O-line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
The New York Giants cornerbacks rank as the 5th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
53
Receiving Yards