Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Rashod Bateman from EV Insight

Rashod BatemanReceiving Yards

Right now, Rashod Bateman’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-115/-115).

Pros

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Rashod Bateman to total 6.4 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Rashod Bateman to be a much bigger part of his offense’s pass game this week (23.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (15.9% in games he has played).
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
The New York Jets cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Cons

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 48.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 122.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Jets pass defense has performed very well when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.49 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-least in the NFL.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
55
Receiving Yards