NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Rashod BatemanReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Jets vs. Ravens
Right now, Rashod Bateman’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (-115/-115).
Pros
- The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Rashod Bateman to total 6.4 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among wideouts.
- THE BLITZ projects Rashod Bateman to be a much bigger part of his offense’s pass game this week (23.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (15.9% in games he has played).
- The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
- The New York Jets cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
Cons
- The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 48.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 122.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The New York Jets pass defense has performed very well when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.49 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-least in the NFL.
- The Baltimore Ravens offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
55
Receiving Yards
55
Receiving Yards
