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Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Pat Freiermuth from EV Insight

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Pat Freiermuth

Pat FreiermuthReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 1

Steelers vs. 49ers

Right now, Pat Freiermuth’s receiving yards prop is set at 39.5 yards (+104/-136).
The public has bet the OVER up to 39.5 (+104) after it opened @ 34.5 (-112).

Pros

  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects Pat Freiermuth to notch 5.9 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among tight ends.
  • Pat Freiermuth has compiled a monstrous 50.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 94th percentile among tight ends.
  • Pat Freiermuth has been among the best pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 49.0 yards per game while checking in at the 94th percentile.
Cons

  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 5th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency vs. TEs since the start of last season, allowing 6.18 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-least in the NFL.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has performed very well when opposing TEs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.29 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-least in the league.
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Projection
THE BLITZ
46
Receiving Yards

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