Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Noah FantReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Seahawks vs. Rams
Right now, Noah Fant’s receiving yards prop is set at 24.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Seahawks rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 63.7% pass rate.
- THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Noah Fant has posted a colossal 25.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 77th percentile among TEs.
- Noah Fant’s 24.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 75th percentile for TEs.
- Noah Fant has been among the best possession receivers in football among tight ends, hauling in an impressive 78.4% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 83rd percentile.
Cons
- The Seahawks are a 4.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- The Los Angeles Rams defense has given up the 8th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 38.0) versus TEs since the start of last season.
- The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has given up the 7th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (68.7%) to TEs since the start of last season (68.7%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
26
Receiving Yards
26
Receiving Yards
