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Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Noah Fant from EV Insight

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Noah Fant

Noah FantReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 1

Seahawks vs. Broncos

Right now, Noah Fant’s receiving yards prop is set at 22.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet up the UNDER down to 22.5 (-110) after it opened @ 34.5 (-115).

Pros

  • The Seahawks are a 6.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to earn 4.4 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among TEs.
  • Noah Fant has totaled a colossal 35.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 87th percentile among tight ends.
  • The Denver Broncos pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
Cons

  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 59.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to be much less involved in his team’s passing offense this week (13.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (18.5% in games he has played).
  • The Seattle Seahawks O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Denver Broncos linebackers profile as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Projection
THE BLITZ
31
Receiving Yards

Previous Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cooper Kupp from EV Insight Next Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Courtland Sutton from EV Insight
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