Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Mike Evans from EV Insight

Mike EvansReceiving Yards

Right now, Mike Evans’s receiving yards prop is set at 66.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 66.5 (-110) after it opened @ 71.5 (-114).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 67.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Mike Evans to notch 8.6 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking in the 94th percentile among WRs.
Mike Evans has notched a monstrous 99.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 95th percentile among wide receivers.

Cons

The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has yielded the lowest Completion% in football (57.6%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (57.6%).
The Dallas Cowboys safeties rank as the 9th-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game stats across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-quickest in football since the start of last season.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have used play action on a measly 17.2% of their passing plays since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
71
Receiving Yards