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Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Mark Andrews from EV Insight

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Mark Andrews

Mark AndrewsReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 1

Bengals vs. Ravens

Right now, Mark Andrews’s receiving yards prop is set at 54.5 yards (-125/-105).
The public has bet the OVER up to 54.5 (-125) after it opened @ 48.5 (-115).

Pros

  • The Ravens are a big 8.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Mark Andrews has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (94.1% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (84.1%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to accrue 8.6 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among TEs.
  • The Baltimore Ravens O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
Cons

  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Mark Andrews has posted far fewer air yards this year (79.0 per game) than he did last year (96.0 per game).
  • Mark Andrews has put up significantly fewer receiving yards per game (58.0) this season than he did last season (82.0).
  • The Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 35.0) versus TEs this year.

Projection
THE BLITZ
58
Receiving Yards

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