Week 1 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Mark Andrews from EV Insight

Mark AndrewsReceiving Yards

Right now, Mark Andrews’s receiving yards prop is set at 61.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 61.5 (-115) after it opened @ 66.5 (-115).

Pros

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to accumulate 7.4 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among TEs.
Mark Andrews has been heavily involved in his team’s offense, posting a Target Share of 26.6% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 100th percentile among TEs.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
The New York Jets linebackers rank as the worst collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Cons

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 48.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 122.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Mark Andrews has been among the weakest tight ends in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 3.70 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 24th percentile.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
66
Receiving Yards