Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Luke MusgraveReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 1
Bears vs. Packers
Right now, Luke Musgrave’s receiving yards prop is set at 26.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 26.5 (-110) after it opened @ 27.5 (-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects Luke Musgrave to earn 5.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among tight ends.
- The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the NFL.
- The Chicago Bears defense has surrendered the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 36.0) vs. tight ends since the start of last season.
- The Chicago Bears pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. tight ends since the start of last season, yielding 6.94 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-least in football.
- The Chicago Bears linebackers project as the 10th-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
38
Receiving Yards
38
Receiving Yards
